![]() The survey followed about 3,000 households for almost 30 years across the country. “Why do some people remain poor for a longer period of time? Why do poor areas remain poor forever? These are the questions answered by the survey,” says Mehta, who led CPRC in India. The survey by CPRC explains the “two Indias”. Most of India’s forested districts are already dens of Maoists. What’s more, people residing in tribal and forested areas are likely to remain poor forever, fomenting violent conflicts in future. “Our study, in the form of more than 30 papers, shows that it would be very difficult for the chronic poor to escape the trap,” says Aasha Kapur Mehta, an economist with the Indian Institution of Public Administration.Ī three-decade tracking of poor households in rural India by the CPRC claims that those who are chronically poor may pass on poverty to their next generation. So, the number of chronic poor, according this estimate, is 111 million. India has 269 million poor and this is the estimate that government has accepted. Recently, the World Bank also reported that during 2005-2011, 40 per cent of the poor remained poor. Going by the National Council of Applied Economic Research’s Human Development Survey, during 2005-2012, 41.3 per cent of India’s poor (both rural and urban) remained poor. He has been researching chronic poverty in India. And more than just economic growth leading to eradicate poverty, these sections of people remained poor for various social and ecological reasons,” says Shashanka Bhide, director at Madras Institute of Development Studies. “Studies done on the state of poverty in the 1970s and 1980s pointed out that close to 50 per cent of poor remained poor despite efforts to eradicate poverty. #India no longer home largest poor people series#There are a series of surveys, mostly not discussed or debated in popular forums, which have been pointing out that a significant number of poor in India are not able to escape out of the poverty trap, and most of these chronic poor belong to socially disadvantaged sections like the scheduled castes and tribes. While chronic poverty is dynamic in that people do climb out of, or fall into poverty in significant numbers, exiting such poverty can prove difficult.” Chronic poverty is defined as “people, households, and social groups who are poor for sustained and significant or extended periods of their lives and whose families and children may inherit this persistent condition. This ultimately appeared in the resolution of the national executive as well.īut going by seminal research works of the Chronic Poverty Research Centre (CPRC), an international association of researchers and academicians, poverty is becoming chronic and hereditary in India, at least for a sizeable population. This is one of the main objectives of the much talked about ‘New India’ vision. On September 25, during the national executive meeting of the Bharatiya Janata Party, Modi made the promise that India would be poverty-free by 2022. This means a vicious cycle of poverty for close to 10 per cent of India’s population. The future has more shocks: studies show that poverty is getting transmitted to the next generation. It is for sure now that close to 111 million Indians, or a bit more than 41 per cent of current poor population of India, would remain poor forever. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s call to eradicate poverty in India by 2022, or in the next five years, is more of a political slogan than an informed prime ministerial promise. ![]()
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